Luxembourg vs Northern Ireland: prediction & betting odds 4 September 2025

The Matchday 5 World Cup 2026 qualifier between Luxembourg and Northern Ireland will take place on September 4 at Stade de Luxembourg. Luxembourg vs. Northern Ireland: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Luxembourg

In the previous qualifiers, the team finished fourth in Group A. Luxembourg won 3 matches and suffered 5 defeats, surpassing only Azerbaijan in the standings. Notably, two of their three victories were against this opponent. However, Luxembourg conceded in both encounters with Azerbaijan, and in their last 10 World Cup qualifiers, they kept a clean sheet only once. The team's last Nations League campaign was also disappointing, as Luxembourg finished last in Group C.

In August, Jeff Strasser, who has nearly 100 caps for the national team, took over as head coach.

• At least three goals were scored in 6 of Luxembourg's last 7 World Cup qualifiers.
• The team has not won in 8 of their last 10 home matches in this tournament (1 draw, 7 defeats).
• Luxembourg scored in 5 of their last 7 home World Cup qualifiers.

Predicted lineup for Luxembourg (4-5-1)

Anthony Moris – Laurent Jans, Florian Bohnert, Dirk Carlson, Enes Mahmutovic – Danel Sinani, Leandro Barreiro, Mathias Olesen, Seid Korac, Olivier Thill – Yvandro Borges.

Forward Gerson Rodrigues was not called up to the squad by the local federation's decision.

Northern Ireland

In the last qualifiers, the team finished third in Group C, behind Italy and Switzerland. Northern Ireland defeated Lithuania twice (3 draws, 3 losses) and trailed the second place by 7 points. Notably, the team scored only 6 goals and failed to score in five matches during this period. However, Northern Ireland had a more successful Nations League campaign than Luxembourg, finishing first in their group and earning promotion to League B.

• At least one opponent failed to score in 9 of Northern Ireland's last 11 World Cup qualifiers.
• The team has not scored more than one goal in 5 of their last 6 away matches in this tournament.
• Northern Ireland has not won in 5 of their last 6 away World Cup qualifiers (1 draw, 4 defeats).

Predicted lineup for Northern Ireland (4-4-2)

Bailey Peacock-Farrell – Brodie Spencer, Conor Bradley, Trai Hume, Daniel Ballard – Ethan Galbraith, Shea Charles, George Saville, Isaac Price – Dion Charles, Callum Marshall.

Defender Paddy McNair has left the squad due to injury.

Referee

Andris Treimanis (Latvia)

Matches – 11 (International matches, 2024/25–2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 66;

Average yellow cards per match – 6;

Red cards shown – 3;

Average fouls per match – 29;

Penalties – 27%.

Luxembourg vs. Northern Ireland: Match Prediction

The teams were opponents in the last Nations League. Northern Ireland secured a 2-0 victory at home, while in Luxembourg, the match ended in a 2-2 draw. In that encounter, both teams displayed an uncharacteristic level of scoring. In the upcoming match, I do not expect a repeat of such a goal fest.

Luxembourg struggled in attack during the 2024/25 Nations League, despite their group lacking strong teams. The team managed to score in only two of their six matches. In World Cup qualifiers, Luxembourg has not been prolific even at home: in 9 of their last 10 matches, they have not scored more than one goal.

Five of Northern Ireland's six goals in the last qualifiers were against Lithuania. The away match with the Baltic side, won 4-1, stands out from their other results. It was the only match in Northern Ireland's last 6 away World Cup qualifiers where they scored more than once. Moreover, in 4 matches during this period, the team failed to score entirely.

My prediction: Total under 2.5 goals